Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.6%
Logrones
28.7%
Draw
31.7%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Logrones
vs
1.03
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
13.1%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).