Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.0%
Derby
17.4%
Draw
10.5%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Derby
vs
0.60
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.0%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
5.2%
0-1
5.0%
4-1
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).