Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Rochdale
25.2%
Draw
31.5%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Rochdale
vs
1.16
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).