Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.1%
Elche
26.7%
Draw
20.2%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Elche
vs
0.77
Girona
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.6%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).