Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.4%
Atalanta
20.6%
Draw
14.1%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Atalanta
vs
0.77
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.2%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
5.3%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).