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02 Apr 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.1%
Scunthorpe
25.0%
Draw
51.9%
Crawley Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Scunthorpe

vs
1.50

Crawley Town

Markets

BTTS45.6%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.1%
1-1
11.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
8.5%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).