Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Perugia
27.1%
Draw
19.5%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Perugia
vs
0.89
Avellino
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
6.0%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).