Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.3%
Morecambe
23.7%
Draw
35.0%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Morecambe
vs
1.68
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS69.1%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.546.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
2-0
5.0%
1-0
4.7%
3-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
0-1
4.2%
0-2
4.2%
2-3
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).