Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Tranmere
22.7%
Draw
32.6%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Tranmere
vs
1.40
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS60.8%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
0-0
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).