Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Hamburg
23.1%
Draw
23.4%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Hamburg
vs
1.32
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS64.7%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
5.0%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
4.3%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).