Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.8%
Elche
21.5%
Draw
12.8%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Elche
vs
0.66
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
13.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
8.5%
0-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).