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02 Aug 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.0%
Gent
28.1%
Draw
25.9%
RAAL La Louviere

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Gent

vs
1.01

RAAL La Louviere

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).