Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.2%
Sp Braga
13.2%
Draw
5.6%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
2.77
Sp Braga
vs
0.64
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
3-0
11.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
6.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-0
4.5%
0-0
3.7%
5-1
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).