Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.6%
Falkirk
11.2%
Draw
5.2%
Alloa
Expected Goals (xG)
3.39
Falkirk
vs
0.87
Alloa
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.593.2%
Over 2.579.8%
Over 3.561.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.0%
4-0
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-0
5.3%
1-1
4.8%
5-1
4.6%
1-0
4.1%
3-2
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).