Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.1%
Parma
20.6%
Draw
10.3%
Alessandria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Parma
vs
0.70
Alessandria
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.4%
1-0
11.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.4%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).