Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.8%
Boavista
29.3%
Draw
46.9%
Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Boavista
vs
1.39
Nacional
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
11.0%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).