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26 Oct 2019 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.7%
Elgin
20.5%
Draw
69.7%
Queens Park

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Elgin

vs
2.28

Queens Park

Markets

BTTS50.2%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.2%
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.3%
0-1
9.2%
1-3
7.2%
0-0
6.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).