Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Plymouth
23.2%
Draw
33.5%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Plymouth
vs
1.29
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.1%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).