Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.0%
Sp Gijon
25.0%
Draw
24.9%
Logrones
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Sp Gijon
vs
1.03
Logrones
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).