Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.0%
Mansfield
20.2%
Draw
16.8%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Mansfield
vs
0.91
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
0-1
5.4%
0-0
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).