Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
Boavista
27.8%
Draw
31.7%
Chaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Boavista
vs
1.01
Chaves
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).