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AHT: 02

18 Jan 2026 · 15:30

Thun

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.5%
Grasshopper
23.8%
Draw
62.6%
Thun

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Grasshopper

vs
2.04

Thun

Markets

BTTS52.4%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.4%
0-3
7.7%
0-0
7.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-4
3.4%
1-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).