Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.8%
Union Berlin
24.3%
Draw
15.9%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Union Berlin
vs
0.81
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).