Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.8%
Swansea
30.8%
Draw
22.3%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Swansea
vs
0.80
Oxford
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
1-1
13.7%
0-0
13.5%
2-0
10.2%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).