Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Sociedad
25.4%
Draw
32.8%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Sociedad
vs
1.26
Granada
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).