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07 Mar 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.3%
Bodrum FK
41.6%
Draw
29.1%
Kasımpaşa

Expected Goals (xG)

0.81

Bodrum FK

vs
0.81

Kasımpaşa

Markets

BTTS34.0%
Over 0.576.9%
Over 1.551.3%
Over 2.522.1%
Over 3.58.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
23.1%
1-1
16.2%
1-0
12.8%
0-1
12.7%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.5%
2-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-0
1.8%
0-3
1.7%
3-1
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).