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AHT: 01CSV

01 Dec 2023 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.2%
Palermo
25.4%
Draw
21.4%
Catanzaro

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Palermo

vs
1.07

Catanzaro

Markets

BTTS55.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).