Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Ipswich
24.1%
Draw
25.0%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Ipswich
vs
1.29
Southampton
Markets
BTTS62.4%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-0
7.0%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.0%
3-0
4.7%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).