Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.6%
Santander
13.3%
Draw
6.0%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
Santander
vs
0.55
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.6%
3-0
12.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
1-1
6.3%
0-0
4.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-0
4.0%
0-1
2.6%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).