Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.7%
Southampton
24.5%
Draw
39.8%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Southampton
vs
1.72
Coventry
Markets
BTTS66.6%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
6.9%
0-1
5.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-0
4.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
0-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
2-3
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).