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23 Aug 2025 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.7%
Gaziantep
33.9%
Draw
31.4%
Genclerbirligi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Gaziantep

vs
1.18

Genclerbirligi

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.2%
0-0
12.0%
2-1
8.1%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).