Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Eldense
25.1%
Draw
32.9%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Eldense
vs
1.28
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).