Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Plymouth
17.6%
Draw
15.0%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Plymouth
vs
0.89
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
8.3%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
7.1%
0-1
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
4.0%
0-0
3.9%
4-1
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).