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24 Feb 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.7%
Cambridge
23.2%
Draw
45.1%
Peterboro

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Cambridge

vs
1.52

Peterboro

Markets

BTTS54.3%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.4%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).