Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.8%
Moreirense
27.0%
Draw
37.1%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Moreirense
vs
1.17
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
12.1%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).