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HHT: 10CSV

13 Sept 2024 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.7%
Pau FC
21.3%
Draw
26.0%
Martigues

Expected Goals (xG)

1.81

Pau FC

vs
1.19

Martigues

Markets

BTTS57.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
4.9%
0-0
4.1%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).