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24 Oct 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.7%
Barnet
20.0%
Draw
12.3%
Solihull

Expected Goals (xG)

2.22

Barnet

vs
0.85

Solihull

Markets

BTTS51.9%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.4%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
4-1
4.0%
1-2
3.7%
0-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).