Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.2%
Anderlecht
21.1%
Draw
15.7%
Dender
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Anderlecht
vs
0.93
Dender
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.7%
1-0
10.0%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).