Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Metz
20.3%
Draw
17.8%
Dijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Metz
vs
0.88
Dijon
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).