Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.5%
Mallorca
28.3%
Draw
23.2%
Deportivo Alavés
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Mallorca
vs
0.87
Deportivo Alavés
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).