Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Burgos
25.7%
Draw
14.0%
Cultural Leonesa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Burgos
vs
0.57
Cultural Leonesa
Markets
BTTS33.6%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.0%
2-0
14.2%
0-0
12.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
4-0
2.7%
2-2
2.3%
0-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).