Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.2%
Wrexham
10.2%
Draw
5.6%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
3.51
Wrexham
vs
0.92
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS58.8%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.581.8%
Over 3.564.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-0
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
4-1
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
5-0
5.3%
5-1
4.9%
1-1
4.2%
1-0
3.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).