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10 May 2025 · 16:00

Amiens

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.5%
Troyes
20.4%
Draw
18.1%
Amiens

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

Troyes

vs
0.88

Amiens

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.8%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).