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09 Jan 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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81.8%
Buyuksehyr
12.3%
Draw
5.9%
Ad. Demirspor

Expected Goals (xG)

3.47

Buyuksehyr

vs
1.01

Ad. Demirspor

Markets

BTTS62.6%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.594.8%
Over 2.582.4%
Over 3.565.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-1
8.0%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
4-0
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
1-1
5.0%
5-1
4.8%
5-0
4.8%
3-2
4.0%
4-2
3.5%
2-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).