Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.4%
Burton
27.3%
Draw
40.3%
Bradford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Burton
vs
1.14
Bradford
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).