Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.0%
Portsmouth
24.6%
Draw
17.4%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Portsmouth
vs
0.65
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS36.0%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.5%
2-0
13.0%
0-0
11.0%
1-1
10.5%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
2.8%
0-2
2.5%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).