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AHT: 01CSV

30 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.3%
Blackpool
20.7%
Draw
23.0%
Doncaster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.88

Blackpool

vs
1.11

Doncaster

Markets

BTTS55.9%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
0-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).