Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.6%
Luton
22.4%
Draw
21.0%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Luton
vs
0.89
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
2-0
10.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
6.8%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).