Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Gillingham
27.1%
Draw
35.0%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Gillingham
vs
1.06
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
0-1
13.1%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).