Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.3%
Nice
13.5%
Draw
6.2%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Nice
vs
0.49
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS35.0%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.0%
1-0
13.6%
3-0
12.8%
2-1
7.9%
4-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
1-1
6.2%
0-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-0
3.7%
0-1
3.1%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).